MINING FINANCE / INVESTMENT

$102M RAISED

Harmony Gold's festive cheer

Top rated gold stocks buck the global equities trend, showing almost effortless ease when raising cash from capital markets.

Author: Barry Sergeant
Posted:  Monday , 22 Dec 2008

JOHANNESBURG - 

 

Harmony Gold, the world's fifth biggest gold miner by ounces produced, on Monday announced the raising of R979m (US$102m) before costs, by placing 10.5m shares at an average price of R93.20 ($9.68) each between November 25 and December 19 2008. The fresh capital is earmarked mainly to further pay down Harmony's debt, which is targeted, on a net basis, to be around zero by mid-2009. The capital raising is relatively small beer in Harmony's books, given its current market value (capitalisation) of around $9bn.

The capital raising again shows the relative ease with which top grade operating listed gold stocks, as leaders of the global recovery in resources equities, if not all classes of equities, can tap into capital markets. During November, Agnico-Eagle, a leading Tier II gold digger, raised $252m without working up so much as a sweat; Red Back, a top Tier II name, announced that it had raised C$60m, upsized from C$40m "in response to strong investor demand". The gold price has fallen the least among commodities, leaving top operating gold stocks in strong cash generating positions; Kinross, a leading Tier I gold name, last month splashed out $250m on a 6m ounce gold deposit in Chile.

Demand for Harmony's stock underpins its relative outperformance among gold stocks. The group has been restructured; operational results have been improving, and investors are impressed enough to expect continued operating and cost improvements as production increases across the group's interests. The group, which currently produces 100% of its output from South Africa, has also benefited from the relatively weak rand.

Harmony management has said that it anticipates that operations will be profitable and will generate enough cash flow to fund capital requirements going forward. Harmony's capital expenditure requirements (including maintenance capital expenditure) are expected to be around R2.8bn ($290 m) in fiscal 2009, falling gradually to about R1.4bn ($145m) in fiscal 2013, as the group's capital cycle winds down.

In the past while, Harmony has banked substantial cash inflows from deals in Papua New Guinea and with Rand Uranium. In the first transaction Tier I gold name Newcrest paid Harmony $230m in August for its initial 30% interest in the joint venture holding exploration and mining assets in the Morobe province of Papua New Guinea. Newcrest will increase its interest in the joint venture to 50% by sole-funding all project expenditure until the date of first production from the Hidden Valley mine, up to a maximum of $306m. Production is scheduled to commence at Hidden Valley in mid-2009.

In the Rand Uranium deal, $40m has been received by Harmony. A further $157m, plus interest at 5% a year, is set to be received on April 22 2009; the balance of the purchase consideration of some $12m is due as soon as the second stage of the transaction, which relates to Harmony's Old Randfontein assets in South Africa, is finalised, anticipated to be on or shortly after April 22 2009.

The cash inflows have already significantly strengthened Harmony's balance sheet, leaving the company well positioned to capitalise on growth options stemming from its huge resource base, and acquisition opportunities increasingly available in ongoing market turmoil. Starved of cash, junior and exploration gold company stock prices remain, on the whole, deeply depressed.

Harmony counts among its group debt R17bn ($176m) of unsecured five-year convertible bonds, issued in May 2004, with a semiannual coupon of 4,875%. The bonds are convertible at bondholders' option at any time into ordinary shares at a conversion price of R121 ($12.50) a share. The bonds are due on May 15 2009.

In October 2007, Harmony obtained a R2bn ($208m) debt facility; in today's announcement, the group says that it has repaid R1.25bn ($130m) of the Nedbank debt which was repayable by December 2008. The remaining Nedbank loan facility of R750m ($78m) is now repayable by December 2009. After the recent capital raising, Harmony's net debt currently stands at about R 1.4bn ($145m).

Global tier I gold stocks

 

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

$ bn

Goldcorp

$ 28.66

-45.6%

107.1%

20.888

Polyus

$ 24.30

-69.6%

73.6%

4.632

Harmony

$ 8.95

-38.5%

63.6%

3.726

Lihir

AUD 2.82

-35.8%

85.5%

4.227

AngloGold Ashanti

$ 25.54

-48.0%

91.0%

9.028

Zijin

CNY 4.99

-77.3%

32.7%

7.518

Barrick

$ 33.50

-38.8%

94.0%

29.222

Newcrest

AUD 31.40

-22.5%

89.7%

9.740

Gold Fields

$ 8.43

-53.4%

81.7%

5.507

Kinross

$ 16.70

-39.1%

143.8%

11.005

Newmont

$ 38.11

-33.8%

80.0%

16.824

Buenaventura

$ 17.85

-58.4%

98.3%

4.907

Freeport-McMoRan

$ 23.33

-81.7%

48.6%

8.811

[[SPDR Gold Trust ETF]]

$ 82.63

-17.7%

25.2%

20.930

Tier I averages/total

 

-49.4%

83.8%

136.034

Weighted averages

 

-53.4%

85.9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

TIER II

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

$ bn

Zhongjin

CNY 35.50

-75.8%

55.7%

1.824

Iamgold

$ 5.50

-45.4%

147.7%

1.626

Simmer & Jack

R 1.76

-72.2%

19.7%

0.193

Yamana

$ 6.78

-66.0%

104.8%

4.744

High River

CAD 0.11

-96.9%

175.0%

0.054

Eldorado

$ 6.66

-28.7%

179.8%

2.439

Agnico-Eagle

$ 46.62

-44.1%

123.4%

6.744

Centerra

CAD 3.15

-80.4%

250.0%

0.562

Randgold Resources

$ 43.22

-23.2%

94.0%

3.306

Shandong

CNY 47.80

-60.0%

81.1%

2.432

Peter Hambro

GBP 3.55

-77.0%

127.2%

0.424

Hecla Mining

$ 2.38

-81.9%

140.4%

0.403

Golden Star

$ 0.53

-87.7%

32.5%

0.103

Franco-Nevada

CAD 19.50

-21.9%

67.8%

1.612

Fresnillo

GBP 1.96

-66.0%

110.2%

2.067

JSC Polymetal

$ 4.19

-57.5%

319.0%

1.320

Red Back

CAD 7.79

-15.8%

172.4%

1.322

New Gold

CAD 1.65

-83.1%

75.5%

0.290

Northgate

CAD 0.67

-80.8%

0.0%

0.141

Tier II averages/total

 

-61.3%

119.8%

31.606

Weighted averages

 

-58.3%

112.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

TIER III

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

$ bn

Western Goldfields

CAD 1.68

-59.3%

236.0%

0.189

Great Basin

CAD 1.26

-67.1%

38.5%

0.223

Sino Gold

AUD 3.85

-49.4%

62.4%

0.770

Alamos

CAD 7.80

-7.1%

122.9%

0.616

Highland

GBP 0.36

-85.9%

69.0%

0.170

PanAust

AUD 0.09

-92.7%

11.0%

0.090

Kingsgate

AUD 2.98

-52.7%

35.5%

0.190

Int'l Minerals

CAD 2.60

-60.9%

122.2%

0.206

Allied Gold

AUD 0.34

-64.2%

83.8%

0.096

First Uranium

CAD 1.75

-84.4%

71.6%

0.189

Novagold

CAD 1.65

-86.7%

247.4%

0.146

Gold Wheaton

CAD 0.24

-87.3%

46.9%

0.220

Oxus Gold

GBP 0.05

-89.1%

9.1%

0.030

Pan African

GBP 0.02

-73.4%

13.3%

0.034

Citigold

AUD 0.28

-39.8%

86.7%

0.141

Jaguar

CAD 3.77

-73.9%

57.7%

0.199

Pamodzi Gold

R 1.40

-89.2%

100.0%

0.014

Oceanagold

AUD 0.22

-93.3%

43.3%

0.024

DRDGold

R 5.50

-46.3%

92.3%

0.214

Central African

GBP 0.01

-96.8%

28.6%

0.003

Avoca Resources

AUD 1.53

-47.4%

74.9%

0.281

Integra Mining

AUD 0.17

-76.8%

73.7%

0.044

Royal Gold

$ 44.79

-4.0%

96.9%

1.520

Chenzhou

CNY 8.87

-79.6%

49.1%

0.694

Aurizon

CAD 3.65

-32.8%

201.7%

0.445

Kazakh Gold

$ 2.55

-91.4%

15.9%

0.111

Gammon Gold

CAD 5.89

-47.4%

119.8%

0.582

Crew Gold

CAD 0.09

-95.5%

80.0%

0.038

Lingbao

HKD 1.97

-69.5%

146.3%

0.076

Zhao Jin

HKD 5.40

-74.9%

190.3%

0.305

Rusoro Mining

CAD 0.34

-82.6%

42.6%

0.109

Minefinders

CAD 5.51

-60.8%

65.5%

0.268

Andina Minerals

CAD 0.86

-83.7%

65.4%

0.056

Crystallex

CAD 0.15

-95.0%

45.0%

0.035

Tier III averages/total

 

-68.9%

83.7%

8.328

Weighted averages

 

-69.0%

84.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

DEVELOPERS

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

$ bn

Anatolia

CAD 1.23

-79.0%

89.2%

0.084

Andean

CAD 0.80

-64.3%

88.2%

0.221

Norton Gold

AUD 0.09

-87.0%

35.4%

0.025

European Gold

CAD 2.01

-72.1%

82.7%

0.297

Banro

CAD 1.05

-91.5%

31.3%

0.045

Greystar

CAD 1.38

-81.6%

160.4%

0.052

Medusa

AUD 0.64

-56.2%

56.1%

0.064

Osisko

CAD 3.50

-46.6%

150.0%

0.478

Central Rand

R 4.50

-75.0%

50.0%

0.115

Westgold

AUD 0.20

-62.1%

30.0%

0.019

Gabriel

CAD 1.00

-67.9%

1.0%

0.211

Nuna Minerals

DKK 152.00

-73.8%

0.0%

0.031

Moto Goldmines

CAD 1.50

-75.4%

127.3%

0.108

Detour Gold

CAD 5.56

-78.1%

94.4%

0.206

Centamin Egypt

CAD 0.74

-53.8%

72.1%

0.537

Seabridge

CAD 17.10

-48.3%

128.0%

0.527

Gold Reserve

CAD 0.72

-88.0%

148.3%

0.034

Goldplat

CAD 0.11

-36.8%

32.3%

0.018

Bear Lake Gold

CAD 0.32

-78.4%

60.0%

0.022

St Barbara

AUD 0.30

-67.4%

66.7%

0.267

Jinshan

CAD 0.57

-81.8%

46.2%

0.077

Metals Exploration

GBP 0.07

-77.9%

8.0%

0.011

Mengold Resources

CAD 0.03

-90.3%

20.0%

0.001

Archipelago

GBP 0.03

-91.1%

56.3%

0.009

China Goldmines

GBP 0.24

-81.0%

11.9%

0.017

Cluff Gold

GBP 0.33

-70.7%

222.0%

0.047

Apex Minerals

AUD 0.37

-74.0%

82.5%

0.098

Semafo

CAD 1.27

-26.2%

69.3%

0.224

B2GOLD

CAD 0.51

-79.8%

70.0%

0.068

Beadell

AUD 0.06

-87.9%

17.6%

0.004

Kimber Resources

CAD 0.70

-64.6%

32.1%

0.036

Aflease Gold

R 1.09

-64.3%

32.9%

0.063

Wits Gold

CAD 6.00

-72.1%

100.0%

0.138

Uruguay Minerals

CAD 0.24

-93.5%

14.3%

0.010

Minera IRL

GBP 0.64

-16.4%

104.8%

0.058

Mineral Deposits

AUD 0.70

-48.5%

150.0%

0.232

Allied Nevada

CAD 5.43

-21.3%

163.6%

0.256

Bralorne Gold

CAD 0.51

-64.6%

45.7%

0.007

Buffalo Gold

CAD 0.01

-98.2%

100.0%

0.001

Cassidy Gold

CAD 0.06

-87.6%

57.1%

0.004

Colombia Goldfields

CAD 0.03

-97.9%

150.0%

0.002

Coral Gold

CAD 0.14

-90.6%

40.0%

0.003

Entrée Gold

CAD 1.07

-60.8%

114.0%

0.083

Exeter Resources

CAD 1.85

-66.8%

76.2%

0.077

Gitennes

CAD 0.03

-91.0%

20.0%

0.001

Golden Goose

CAD 0.18

-81.1%

157.1%

0.007

Grandview Gold

CAD 0.04

-94.5%

0.0%

0.001

Kirkland Lake

CAD 3.20

-75.3%

27.0%

0.147

Aldridge

CAD 2.04

-45.2%

13.3%

0.038

Molycor Gold

CAD 0.03

-90.0%

66.7%

0.001

Moneta Porcupine

CAD 0.06

-78.6%

140.0%

0.005

Nautilus Minerals

CAD 0.87

-77.7%

19.2%

0.112

Navasota Resources

CAD 0.15

-82.6%

11.1%

0.007

PC Gold

CAD 0.20

-84.0%

81.8%

0.004

Queensland Minerals

CAD 0.05

-92.3%

150.0%

0.002

Rainy River

CAD 1.13

-81.0%

82.3%

0.054

Reunion Gold

CAD 0.05

-96.9%

80.0%

0.002

Searchgold Resources

CAD 0.02

-90.5%

33.3%

0.002

Skyline Gold

CAD 0.05

-72.2%

100.0%

0.003

Staccato Gold

CAD 0.06

-78.8%

22.2%

0.005

Sunridge Gold

CAD 0.09

-95.1%

50.0%

0.005

UC Resources

CAD 0.08

-83.7%

114.3%

0.007

Yukon-Nevada

CAD 0.03

-98.3%

50.0%

0.005

Tanami Gold

AUD 0.02

-75.3%

300.0%

0.048

Tasman Goldfields

AUD 0.06

-75.7%

12.0%

0.002

Focus Minerals

AUD 0.03

-76.2%

47.1%

0.021

Goldminex

AUD 0.87

-51.7%

24.3%

0.040

Leyshon Resources

AUD 0.08

-88.6%

60.0%

0.012

Regis Resources

AUD 0.10

-87.3%

58.7%

0.017

Goldstar Resources

AUD 0.04

-91.1%

20.7%

0.004

Gryphon Minerals

AUD 0.06

-91.5%

0.0%

0.005

Barra Resources

AUD 0.04

-91.2%

0.0%

0.007

Conquest Mining

AUD 0.20

-71.9%

30.0%

0.036

Hill End Gold

AUD 0.15

-72.1%

61.1%

0.031

Dioro Exploration

AUD 0.36

-80.9%

34.0%

0.017

Shield Mining

AUD 0.04

-86.2%

0.0%

0.001

Dragon Mining

AUD 0.02

-84.0%

71.4%

0.012

Zedex Minerals

AUD 0.03

-88.5%

50.0%

0.006

Red 5

AUD 0.04

-70.7%

70.8%

0.019

Adamus Resources

AUD 0.18

-77.4%

80.0%

0.019

Medusa Mining

AUD 0.64

-56.2%

56.1%

0.064

Hampton Hill

AUD 0.08

-86.0%

0.0%

0.007

Navigator Resources

AUD 0.18

-82.3%

59.1%

0.016

Keegan Resources

CAD 0.88

-85.0%

79.6%

0.021

Oromin

CAD 0.44

-89.4%

14.3%

0.024

Bear Creek Mining

CAD 1.01

-89.2%

77.2%

0.046

Austral Gold

AUD 0.18

-47.1%

125.0%

0.021

Atlantic Gold

AUD 0.06

-74.4%

1.8%

0.008

Lake Shore Gold

CAD 1.14

-45.5%

90.0%

0.165

Linear Gold

CAD 0.67

-78.4%

3.1%

0.015

Metallic Venture

CAD 0.32

-88.1%

48.8%

0.014

Mundoro

CAD 0.23

-76.8%

53.3%

0.007

Stratagold

CAD 0.02

-93.9%

100.0%

0.003

Tyhee

CAD 0.15

-75.8%

81.3%

0.020

Queenston Mining

CAD 2.57

-32.9%

238.2%

0.111

Miranda

CAD 0.24

-79.4%

42.4%

0.009

Mariana

GBP 0.03

-75.0%

0.0%

0.002

Tribune Resources

AUD 0.69

-67.0%

6.2%

0.024

Atna Resources

CAD 0.55

-68.8%

83.3%

0.038

Condor Resources

CAD 0.06

-96.6%

50.0%

0.001

Australian Solomons

CAD 0.04

-95.7%

60.0%

0.002

Brazauro

CAD 0.25

-72.2%

150.0%

0.018

Frontier Mining

GBP 0.00

-98.1%

40.0%

0.001

NWM Mining

CAD 0.06

-75.0%

266.7%

0.004

Geoinformatics

CAD 0.01

-99.8%

0.0%

0.006

Hawthorne Gold

CAD 0.29

-88.2%

137.5%

0.007

Inter-Citic

CAD 0.38

-82.6%

123.5%

0.026

Int'l Tower Hill

CAD 1.60

-33.3%

49.5%

0.058

Midway Gold

CAD 0.33

-92.9%

83.3%

0.018

PMI Gold

CAD 0.06

-83.3%

450.0%

0.004

Verena

CAD 0.10

-75.6%

150.0%

0.008

Vior

CAD 0.03

-87.5%

25.0%

0.002

Ascot Mining

GBP 0.31

-41.9%

1.7%

0.008

Kalimantan Gold

CAD 0.03

-86.4%

100.0%

0.002

Republic Gold

AUD 0.03

-81.5%

8.7%

0.013

Central China Gold

GBP 0.02

-77.1%

60.0%

0.004

BMA Gold

AUD 0.01

-78.8%

120.0%

0.004

Aldridge Minerals

CAD 2.04

-45.2%

13.3%

0.038

Tianshan Goldfields

AUD 0.06

-87.7%

6.7%

0.012

Cambridge Mining

GBP 0.01

-56.0%

57.1%

0.007

Guyana Goldfields

CAD 1.56

-79.9%

155.7%

0.066

Vatukoula Gold

GBP 0.01

-82.6%

22.0%

0.026

Asia Now Resources

CAD 0.07

-87.5%

18.2%

0.004

Azumah Resources

AUD 0.05

-76.7%

25.0%

0.003

BCGold

CAD 0.06

-90.0%

120.0%

0.001

Goldrea

CAD 0.05

-86.6%

12.5%

0.002

Philex Gold

CAD 0.20

-76.5%

33.3%

0.007

La Mancha Resources

CAD 0.20

-67.5%

387.5%

0.023

A1 Minerals

AUD 0.08

-76.7%

30.0%

0.006

Alkane Resources

AUD 0.14

-72.8%

40.0%

0.023

Beaconsfield Gold

AUD 0.13

-58.3%

38.9%

0.034

Catalpa Resources

AUD 0.02

-74.5%

26.3%

0.009

North Queensland

AUD 0.18

-67.3%

33.3%

0.018

Developer averages/total

-75.7%

71.3%

6.666

Weighted averages

 

-73.3%

76.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

Overall averages/total

 

-70.4%

77.7%

182.633

Overall weighted averages

-56.5%

89.5%

 

* 12-month

 

 

 

 

Source: market data; tables compiled by Barry Sergeant

 

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 responses to this article

Olympus Pacific Minerals Inc.
Dear Mr. Sergeant,
I'm curious to know why you have not listed Olympus in your analysis, Harmony Gold's Festive Cheer, dated Dec.22, 2008? Olympus trades on the TSX: OYM and is producing and exporting gold from its Bong Mieu Gold plant located . .more

by James Hamilton on December 29 2008, 08:58
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