MINING FINANCE / INVESTMENT

GLOBAL PRICE TRENDS

World's 100 hottest gold stocks - selection has been critical

Gold stocks face stiff competition, mainly from base metal miners, but pricing patterns show distinct selection among gold diggers, developers and explorers.

Author: Barry Sergeant
Posted:  Thursday , 30 Jul 2009

JOHANNESBURG - 

Seen as a global grouping, mining stocks touched nine-month highs on 3 June, before screeching down to a trough on 23 June, and then rising sharply to make 10-month highs on Monday this week, before taking a breather that has continued across Wednesday, particularly among Chinese mining stocks. On Tuesday, Chinese stockmarkets had made yet another series of 12-month highs.

Over the past month in particular, the huge demand for Chinese stocks of all kinds, not least mining names, has created interesting patterns in global investment portfolio flows. Very strong flows into Chinese base metal stocks have to some degree been shadowed in Western markets; outside China, copper stocks have created some of the strongest interest, as seen in the cases of London-listed Antofagasta, Poland's KGHM Polska Miedź, and Canada's First Quantum.

Flows over the past month into precious metals stocks, covering gold, platinum and silver, have been lighter, but still positive; only specialist miners of diamonds, oil sands and potash have been less demanded. At the same time, there is no question that a select list of gold names remain among the world's most desired mining stocks, and indeed, stocks of any kind.

Seen over the past 12 months, listed gold stocks, as a global group, have held closer to stock price highs than most other subsectors, but have been outflanked on the bounce by the likes of specialist copper and silver miners, and even zinc diggers.

In a number of cases, however, the returns recorded are distorted by frothy price levels among any number of listed Chinese stocks. In the case of zinc, as an example, prices are currently relatively high over a 12-month period for Hunan, Huludao Zinc and Shenzhen Zhongjin, while the majority of zinc miners listed elsewhere remain relatively subdued; however, good performances are becoming more the norm, as seen in the cases of Talvivaara Mining and Volcan.

STOCK GROUPS

Value

From

From

 

USD bn

high*

low*

Top 100 global miners

1458.77

-35.5%

146.9%

100 hottest gold stocks

157.78

-14.2%

201.4%

Silver stocks

20.66

-35.3%

253.0%

Oil stocks

2405.18

-27.7%

55.0%

S + P 500 Energy

1054.71

-35.5%

42.1%

Zinc stocks

31.69

-23.9%

261.0%

Copper stocks

106.05

-35.8%

250.2%

Gold stocks

277.61

-25.9%

157.2%

Gold ETFs

46.19

-17.3%

28.8%

Uranium stocks

27.83

-28.9%

156.2%

Paper stocks (60)

61.91

-37.8%

118.4%

Shipping stocks (32)

36.88

-57.5%

110.0%

World banks (80)

2885.49

-37.4%

123.8%

Dow Jones Industrial

3071.18

-26.9%

48.0%

* 12-month

 

 

 

Source: market data; analysis by Barry Sergeant

 

* 12-month

 

 

 

At this point in time, among gold heavyweights, Kinross remains the price leader, a status held for some weeks, followed by China's Zijin, and then Goldcorp, a volatile stock, but one that tends to be a useful indicator for the overall direction of gold stocks. Measured on its NYSE price, Goldcorp has ranged between USD 13.84 a share and USD 40.90 over the past 12 months, with current trades around the USD 35.66 mark. Seen over a longer period, AngloGold Ashanti has ranked as price leader among global Tier I gold diggers; it remains among the most 60 in-demand gold stocks globally.

Gold stocks at the top of the in-demand pile include Mali-focused Glencar Mining, under firm bid from Tier I member Gold Fields; Continental Mines, which holds the Xietongmen project in China, and Evolving Gold, running high on drill results at its Rattlesnake project in Wyoming.

A strong performance from various Australian gold names features: Red 5, focused on the Siana project in the Philippines; Chalice Gold, which has a new partner at its Gnaweeda Gold Project in the northern Murchison province of Western Australia; Barra Resources, where a maiden drilling program intersected significant widths of gold mineralisation at Spargo's Reward at the new Kambalda West Gold project, alongside Barra's other interests at Burbanks, Phillips Find's, and the flagship Mt Thirsty Project; and ever-popular Kingsgate, gold miner at Chatree in Thailand, with plans to expand into southeast Asia, Australia and South America.

Further top guns from down under include Ampella Mining, which has recently started marketing a great gold story out of Burkina Faso, Catalpa Resources, Emmerson Resources, Regis Resources, and, or course, Australia's explosive star of 2009, London-listed Norseman Gold.

Among further most-demanded Canadian-listed names are found the generally firm favourites among specialist investors, in the form of San Gold, Romarco, Lake Shore Gold, Queenston Mining, and West Timmins. Moto Goldmines has also run very hard, as a now-real takeover target.

 Among stocks where prices have reached into the stratosphere, Ventana Gold has seen a relatively stable price for a good month now; there has been some profit taking in Pelangio; the market value displayed by La Mancha Resources has calmed somewhat, and moderate profit taking has been seen in high fliers such as Sandfire Resources, US Gold Corp., and PC Gold.

100 SELECTED HOTTEST GOLD STOCKS

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

 

price

high*

low*

USD bn

Glencar Mining

GBP 0.09

0.0%

208.3%

0.044

Continental Mines

CAD 1.24

-3.1%

313.3%

0.147

Evolving Gold

CAD 1.54

-3.8%

1000.0%

0.119

Red 5

AUD 0.09

-4.3%

270.8%

0.048

Pan African

GBP 0.05

-4.5%

180.0%

0.095

Chalice Gold

AUD 0.32

-4.5%

350.0%

0.019

Patagonia Gold

GBP 0.15

-4.8%

275.0%

0.146

Barra Resources

AUD 0.16

-5.9%

290.2%

0.037

San Gold

CAD 2.40

-6.3%

321.1%

0.568

Romarco

CAD 0.88

-6.4%

877.8%

0.222

Lake Shore Gold

CAD 2.99

-6.6%

398.3%

0.586

Kingsgate

AUD 6.65

-7.0%

202.3%

0.523

Ampella Mining

AUD 0.37

-7.6%

748.8%

0.038

Queenston Mining

CAD 4.84

-8.2%

536.8%

0.256

Catalpa Resources

AUD 0.11

-8.3%

478.9%

0.105

Emmerson Resources

AUD 0.16

-8.6%

290.2%

0.030

Moto Goldmines

CAD 5.09

-8.8%

671.2%

0.511

West Timmins

CAD 1.86

-9.3%

1330.8%

0.229

Regis Resources

AUD 0.58

-9.4%

820.6%

0.117

Norseman Gold

GBP 0.36

-9.9%

2316.7%

0.102

Allied Nevada

CAD 9.09

-10.4%

341.3%

0.479

Eldorado

USD 9.32

-10.6%

291.6%

3.461

East Asia Minerals

CAD 1.28

-11.1%

966.7%

0.058

US Gold Corp.

USD 2.80

-11.1%

636.8%

0.294

Kinross

USD 18.62

-11.2%

171.8%

12.936

Centamin Egypt

CAD 1.57

-11.3%

265.1%

1.433

Alamos

CAD 9.28

-11.5%

165.1%

0.920

Zijin

CNY 10.87

-11.6%

189.1%

16.762

Shandong Gold

CNY 59.43

-11.6%

350.2%

6.189

Seabridge

CAD 30.04

-11.6%

300.5%

1.034

Iamgold

USD 10.16

-11.7%

357.7%

3.727

PC Gold

CAD 0.97

-11.8%

781.8%

0.027

Zhongjin

CNY 62.31

-12.0%

501.2%

7.210

Medusa

AUD 2.54

-12.1%

519.5%

0.351

Hunan Chenzhou

CNY 24.21

-12.2%

306.9%

1.940

Sandfire Resources

AUD 2.27

-12.4%

4629.2%

0.175

Premier Gold

CAD 2.75

-12.4%

161.9%

0.198

Highlands Pacific

AUD 0.14

-12.5%

250.0%

0.075

Orocobre

AUD 0.70

-12.5%

407.2%

0.038

Channel Resources

CAD 0.07

-12.5%

600.0%

0.004

Andean

AUD 1.87

-12.6%

340.0%

0.794

Goldcorp

USD 35.66

-12.8%

157.7%

26.054

Citadel Resource

AUD 0.26

-13.3%

147.6%

0.287

St Andrew Goldfields

CAD 0.45

-13.5%

592.3%

0.134

Zhaojin

HKD 12.82

-13.5%

589.2%

0.723

Osisko

CAD 6.52

-13.6%

365.7%

1.563

Apollo Gold

USD 0.43

-13.8%

331.1%

0.101

Bralorne Gold

CAD 0.99

-13.9%

182.9%

0.015

Polyus

USD 39.20

-14.8%

180.0%

7.473

Hillgrove Resources

AUD 0.23

-14.8%

219.4%

0.078

Northgate

CAD 2.40

-14.9%

258.2%

0.565

Gryphon Minerals

AUD 0.31

-15.1%

425.4%

0.042

Minera IRL

GBP 0.73

-15.1%

68.8%

0.091

Semafo

CAD 2.20

-15.4%

193.3%

0.507

Guyana Goldfields

CAD 3.68

-15.4%

503.3%

0.221

Cluff Gold

GBP 0.51

-15.5%

392.7%

0.097

AngloGold Ashanti

USD 36.46

-15.5%

172.7%

12.916

Carpathian Gold

CAD 0.30

-15.7%

490.0%

0.063

Centerra

CAD 6.54

-15.7%

626.7%

1.412

Kirkland Lake

CAD 8.57

-15.7%

240.1%

0.462

Int'l Tower Hill

CAD 3.37

-15.8%

215.0%

0.150

Real Gold

HKD 6.64

-15.8%

51.6%

0.565

Hill End Gold

AUD 0.21

-16.0%

133.3%

0.056

Helio Resource

CAD 0.84

-16.0%

460.0%

0.051

Klondex Mines

CAD 1.78

-16.0%

493.3%

0.044

Conquest Mining

AUD 0.47

-16.1%

235.7%

0.105

Nevsun

CAD 1.71

-16.2%

388.6%

0.202

Minefinders

CAD 8.88

-16.2%

166.7%

0.483

Dioro Exploration

AUD 0.71

-16.5%

184.0%

0.053

La Mancha Resources

CAD 0.90

-16.7%

2150.0%

0.118

Mindax

AUD 0.45

-16.7%

130.8%

0.048

JSC Polymetal

USD 7.70

-16.8%

670.0%

2.426

Golden Star

USD 2.12

-16.9%

430.0%

0.461

Franco-Nevada

CAD 26.17

-16.9%

125.2%

2.695

Orvana Minerals

CAD 0.68

-17.1%

106.1%

0.072

Sino Gold

AUD 5.48

-17.1%

131.2%

1.311

Anfield Ventures

CAD 2.10

-17.3%

500.0%

0.049

Fresnillo

GBP 6.12

-17.4%

558.1%

7.202

Adamus Resources

AUD 0.40

-17.7%

295.0%

0.055

Red Back

CAD 9.20

-17.8%

221.7%

1.947

Fronteer

CAD 3.83

-17.8%

147.1%

0.418

Ventana Gold

CAD 5.17

-17.9%

12825.0%

0.382

Olympus Pacific

CAD 0.30

-18.1%

637.5%

0.068

Lingbao

HKD 2.90

-18.3%

262.5%

0.111

Auex Ventures

CAD 2.45

-18.3%

206.3%

0.079

Brazauro

CAD 0.61

-18.7%

510.0%

0.048

Intrepid Mines

AUD 0.34

-19.0%

325.0%

0.119

Lydian

CAD 0.42

-19.2%

281.8%

0.018

Newcrest

AUD 30.00

-19.3%

81.3%

11.868

Randgold Resources

USD 59.56

-19.7%

167.3%

4.573

Buenaventura

USD 24.07

-19.8%

167.4%

6.617

Rubicon Minerals

USD 2.63

-19.8%

275.7%

0.389

Staccato Gold

CAD 0.14

-20.0%

211.1%

0.013

African Queen

CAD 0.32

-20.0%

433.3%

0.011

Linear Gold

CAD 1.40

-20.0%

115.4%

0.042

IMA Exploration

USD 0.28

-20.0%

75.0%

0.015

Mirasol Resources

CAD 0.30

-20.0%

650.0%

0.008

Atac Resources

CAD 0.63

-20.3%

800.0%

0.027

Pelangio

CAD 0.35

-20.7%

1280.0%

0.027

Golden Odyssey

CAD 0.19

-20.8%

850.0%

0.008

Averages/total

 

-13.5%

576.5%

157.778

Weighted averages

 

-14.2%

201.4%

 

 

 

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 responses to this article

Chalice Gold Price Rise
The increase in the Chalice stock price has nothing to do with the JV with Kent on the Gnaweeda project and everything to do with the impending merger with Sub Sahara Resources NL. This will consolidate the ownership of the high-grade Zara gold . .more

by Doug Jones on July 30 2009, 20:17
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Great Article
This is great analysis. It allows potential gold mining investors to compare the values of many gold mining stocks!

Is there a way to get the 100 mining stock graph in Excel format???

Thanks,
Daniel

by Romarco fan! on July 31 2009, 22:19
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Great way to Invest stock
Analyst Report coming on VHGI Gold (OTCBB VHGI)

by John JC on December 20 2009, 22:46
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